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Synthetic Monitoring for AI: Golden Queries, Drift and Alerting

Amestris — Boutique AI & Technology Consultancy

Traditional monitoring watches latency and error rates. AI systems can look healthy and still be wrong: retrieval silently degrades, prompts drift, refusals spike, or cost per task doubles. Synthetic monitoring closes that gap.

Define a set of golden queries

Golden queries are a small, curated set of prompts that represent critical workflows and known edge cases. They should cover:

  • High-value intents and high-frequency tasks.
  • Risky intents and policy boundaries.
  • RAG queries with expected sources and citation behaviour (see retrieval quality).
  • Tool-driven tasks that must remain safe and correct (see tool reliability).

Score signals that map to failure modes

Synthetic tests should produce signals that map to your error taxonomy:

  • Grounding signals. Citation presence and faithfulness (see grounding).
  • Retrieval coverage. Expected sources appear in top results.
  • Policy adherence. Refusal correctness and sensitive output scanning (see policy layering).
  • Cost and latency. Token counts, retries, and stage timings (see cost anomaly detection).

Combine these with tracing so operators can see what changed when a test fails (see observability).

Run on a cadence that matches risk

Run synthetic checks:

  • On every prompt/policy release (see prompt regression testing).
  • On a schedule (hourly/daily) against the current production configuration.
  • On provider or index changes, including re-embeddings and backfills.

Alert on trend breaks, not single failures

AI has variance. Alerting should focus on trend breaks: sustained drops in groundedness, sustained retrieval misses, or sustained cost spikes. Use SLO-style thresholds and paging rules (see SLO playbooks).

Connect failures to incident response

When synthetic monitoring fails, operators need fast levers: feature flags, routing fallbacks, context throttles, or a temporary change freeze (see incident response and change freeze).

Synthetic monitoring is how you detect regressions before users do.

Quick answers

What does this article cover?

How to detect AI regressions early by running golden queries continuously and alerting on quality and risk signals.

Who is this for?

SRE, platform and product teams operating AI features where reliability and trust must be maintained.

If this topic is relevant to an initiative you are considering, Amestris can provide independent advice or architecture support. Contact hello@amestris.com.au.